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BNP Paribas looks forward to 2025: The Federal Reserve is expected to stay put for the whole year, and the US yield will rise. The 2025 outlook report released by BNP Paribas on Thursday shows that the yield of US Treasury bonds is expected to rise, and under the strong dollar, it will reach parity against the euro. The bank predicts that with the entry into force of the tariff measures proposed by the incoming Trump administration, the US inflation rate will start to pick up from the middle of next year, prompting the Fed to remain inactive throughout 2025. Calvin Tse, the bank's head of macro strategy for the Americas, said that customers are advised to continue to allocate low US Treasury bonds next year, because they expect that inflation will accelerate from mid-2025 after the soft landing of the economy, and the yield of 10-year Treasury bonds will be 4.65% at the end of the year. Tse also said that inflation is expected to be higher and the Fed is more hawkish next year.Two States in the United States sued Glock, a gun manufacturer, for ignoring the design flaw that "pistols can easily become machine guns". On the 12th, the prosecutors in New Jersey and Minnesota respectively sued Glock, an Austrian weapons manufacturer, accusing the pistol manufactured by them of design defects and being easily converted into illegal machine guns. According to the complaint, Glock knew this situation for a long time, and continued to sell this pistol to the United States and profit from it, which promoted the proliferation of gun violence in the United States. (Xinhua News Agency)Guoyuan Securities: A special dividend plan was drawn up and announced by Guoyuan Securities. On December 13, 2024, the company held the 20th meeting of the 10th Board of Directors and the 11th meeting of the 10th Board of Supervisors, at which the Proposal on Special Dividend Plan was reviewed and approved. As of September 30, 2024, the accumulated undistributed profit of the company was 7.743 billion yuan, and the accumulated distributable profit of the parent company was 5.262 billion yuan. In order to enhance the investor's sense of gain and improve the investor's return level, the company has drawn up a special dividend plan: based on the existing total share capital of 4.364 billion shares, a cash dividend of 0.60 yuan will be distributed to all shareholders for every 10 shares, and a total cash dividend of 262 million yuan will be distributed. No bonus shares will be distributed, and capital will not be increased from the provident fund.

Two States in the United States sued Glock, a gun manufacturer, for ignoring the design flaw that "pistols can easily become machine guns". On the 12th, the prosecutors in New Jersey and Minnesota respectively sued Glock, an Austrian weapons manufacturer, accusing the pistol manufactured by them of design defects and being easily converted into illegal machine guns. According to the complaint, Glock knew this situation for a long time, and continued to sell this pistol to the United States and profit from it, which promoted the proliferation of gun violence in the United States. (Xinhua News Agency)Trump said that he would use aid to Ukraine as a bargaining chip to force Russia to sit at the negotiating table. US President-elect Donald Trump said that he would use US support to Ukraine as a bargaining chip to force Russia to end the conflict through negotiations.Canada is considering imposing tariffs on key resources exported by the United States, calling this a "last resort". It is reported that Canada is currently studying the imposition of export taxes on its main commodities exported to the United States, including uranium, oil and potash fertilizer. According to officials familiar with the internal discussions in the Canadian government, export tariffs will be Canada's last resort (if US President-elect Trump fulfills his promise to impose extensive tariffs). Retaliatory tariffs on American-made goods and export controls on some Canadian products will be more likely to be introduced first. But these officials said that if Trump decides to launch a full-scale trade war, Canada's export tax on goods is a practical choice. The Trudeau government may also propose to expand the power of export control.

Venezuela: This week, 103 people arrested after the July elections were released.Market News: It is reported that Iraq's strategic wheat reserve is enough to meet the consumption for more than six months.The US dollar index rose on the 12th. The US dollar index, which measures the US dollar against six major currencies, rose by 0.23% that day and closed at 106.957 in the foreign exchange market. As of the end of the new york foreign exchange market, 1 euro was exchanged for 1.0473 US dollars, lower than 1.0492 US dollars in the previous trading day; One pound was exchanged for $1.2670, down from $1.2745 in the previous trading day. One dollar was exchanged for 152.54 yen, down from 152.65 yen in the previous trading day; One dollar was exchanged for 0.8914 Swiss francs, higher than 0.8848 Swiss francs in the previous trading day; 1 dollar to 1.4208 Canadian dollars, higher than 1.4162 Canadian dollars in the previous trading day; One dollar was exchanged for SEK 11.0106, higher than SEK 10.9791 in the previous trading day.